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Category: Insights

High Yield Spreads:  The Chicken or the Egg

High Yield Spreads: The Chicken or the Egg

Posted on November 7, 2023
Categories InsightsLeave a comment on High Yield Spreads: The Chicken or the Egg

High Yield spreads are currently running below their historical highs, but that doesn’t necessarily mean that they have to widen.  Portfolio manager Bruce Monrad explains how high yield spreads are sometimes both a result and target of monetary policy.

 

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Term Premium Makes A Comeback

Term Premium Makes A Comeback

Posted on October 31, 2023
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Bruce Monrad, Chairman and Portfolio Manager of Northeast Investors Trust, sheds some light on the resurgence of the Term Premium and how it influences the bond market landscape.

 

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A Surge In Attractiveness

A Surge In Attractiveness

Posted on October 11, 2023
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As interest rates surge, with the 10-year Treasury bond’s yield hitting a 16-year high at 4.8% and high yield market yields exceeding 9.0%, it’s time for a closer look at what this means for investors going forward.

 

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High Yield – A Safe Haven

High Yield – A Safe Haven

Posted on September 6, 2023
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Portfolio Manager Bruce Monrad shares his thoughts on why a “Higher For Longer” scenario may be shaping up and why High Yield might be the place to be.

 

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Stargazing in the Media

Stargazing in the Media

Posted on August 25, 2023
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The Fed’s Neutral Rate (also known as R* or R-Star) is starting to pick up steam in mainstream media.  Here are a few recent articles:

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A Rising R-Star?

A Rising R-Star?

Posted on July 25, 2023
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Bruce Monrad explains how the Fed’s esoteric concept, R-star, may be shifting higher, signaling a “higher-for-longer” environment.

 

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The “Other Terminal Rate”

The “Other Terminal Rate”

Posted on July 11, 2023
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Bruce Monrad explains how changes in the Fed’s longer-term rate expectations (what he calls the “Other Terminal Rate”) could effect markets.

 

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Wrong Central Bank?

Wrong Central Bank?

Posted on June 30, 2023
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U.S. investors have shifted their Fed expectations from “Pivot” to “Pause”, but are they focusing on the wrong central bank?

 

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Quantitative Tightening (QT): Check the Plumbing

Quantitative Tightening (QT): Check the Plumbing

Posted on June 15, 2023
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Since the Global Financial Crisis of 2007-08, the Federal Reserve has poured trillions of dollars into the banking system through its Quantitative Easing (QE) program. But what happens when they reverse the flows? Will the plumbing hold?

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Not Your Father’s Credit Crunch

Not Your Father’s Credit Crunch

Posted on May 11, 2023
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There are rising concerns that the recent strain in the banking sector may give way to a larger financial meltdown, but are they justified?   Northeast Investors Trust believes that today’s circumstances are different and the banking system is more resilient than many people think.

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